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Assessing the Credit Channel of the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Tunisia

TUNESS Chart of the Week (TCW), Monday April 22, 2013 

Like most emerging economies, Credit market in Tunisia continues to absorb the bulk of domestic financing needs from both public and private sectors. Despite several past attempts to boost the domestic capital market through successive waves of financial liberalization, the latter has failed to impose itself as a major player in the local financial market. As a result, credits are currently (by far) the major source for funding domestic investments and private consumption and thus the main driving force of the economic growth (at least at the aggregate level).

Details
Written by: Tuness Team
Category: Modelling of The Month
Published: 22 April 2013

Read more: Assessing the Credit Channel of the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Tunisia

Assessing Climate Change Impacts over the Mediterranean region, including Tunisia

TUNESS Chart of the Week (TCW), Monday April 15, 2013

Continuous scientific efforts to identify the mechanisms responsible for the recent observed variations of the Earth's climate have led to further evidence that "most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations" (IPCC 2007).

Details
Written by: Rym Msadek
Category: Modelling of The Month
Published: 15 April 2013

Read more: Assessing Climate Change Impacts over the Mediterranean region, including Tunisia

Machine Learning Forecasting energy consmpution

Forecasting Medium-term Electric Consumption in Tunisia

TUNESS Chart of the Week (TCW), Monday April 08, 2013

Forecasting electric power consumption (EPC) is a crucial and essential activity to gauge electricity generation. The lack of a precise picture of the future may lead to over-capacity or shortages in power that can cause unexpectedly high costs. The attempts conducted to achieve such prediction could be classified into three types of forecasting: short-term (few minutes to few hours), medium-term (few months to few years), and long-term (5 to 25 years in the future).

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Written by: Walid Missaoui
Category: Modelling of The Month
Published: 08 April 2013

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Modeling the Causes of Political and Extrajudicial Assassinations in the World

TUNESS Chart of the Week (TCW), Monday March 18, 2013

As we commemorate the 40th day since the assassination of the Tunisian opposition leader Chokri Belaid, we study this week the political assassinations of ruling or opposition leaders in the world which have been a recurring event throughout past decades and have very often changed the course of history or reshaped the political scene in the country or the region where it occurred. Overall, our findings as we explain below, confirm the empirical results of past contributions in the literature and reiterate the idea that given the current circumstances, Tunisia remains highly vulnerable to those kind of unlawful acts.

 

Details
Written by: Bechir Bouzid
Category: Modelling of The Month
Published: 18 March 2013

Read more: Modeling the Causes of Political and Extrajudicial Assassinations in the World